Target Price Playground
QUBT
$7.06
๐ข
QUBT IV: 84.7% โ LOW
(-28.0% vs 30d avg of 117.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $8 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.03 ยท ฮ 0.59
LONG PUT ยท $7 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.91 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-94 (-48.5%) on $194 risked, vs +$94 (13.3%) for 100 shares on $706. Options give 3.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if QUBT is at $8. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if QUBT hits $8 by Jun 19
$-94
-48.5% on $194 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$194
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$8.94
+26.65% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
17.61 / -1.42 / 2.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| QUBT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6 (-20%) | +$10 | -$14 | -$41 | -$59 |
| $6 (-15%) | +$0 | -$27 | -$61 | -$94 |
| $6 (-10%) | -$4 | -$35 | -$74 | -$129 |
| $7 (-5%) | -$4 | -$37 | -$80 | -$165 |
| $7 (-2%) | -$2 | -$36 | -$81 | -$186 |
| $7 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$34 | -$80 | -$188 |
| $7 (+2%) | +$3 | -$32 | -$77 | -$174 |
| $7 (+5%) | +$8 | -$27 | -$72 | -$153 |
| $8 (+10%) | +$20 | -$14 | -$58 | -$117 |
| $8 (+13%) โ target | +$30 | -$4 | -$46 | -$94 |
| $8 (+15%) | +$35 | +$1 | -$39 | -$82 |
| $8 (+20%) | +$53 | +$21 | -$16 | -$47 |
Uses QUBT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.