Target Price Playground
RBRK
$43.81
๐ข
RBRK IV: 72.5% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 106.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $39 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $44 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.47 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $40 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.48 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RBRK hits $39 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$201 (101.5%) on $199 risked, vs $-481 (-11.0%) for 100 shares on $4,381. Options give 9.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RBRK is at $39. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RBRK hits $39 by Jun 19
+$201
+101.5% on $199 risked
Max Profit
+$201
If the stock โค $40 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$199
Net debit
Break-even
$42.01
-4.1% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.25 / -0.29 / 0.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RBRK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $35 (-20%) | +$101 | +$114 | +$140 | +$201 |
| $37 (-15%) | +$76 | +$85 | +$105 | +$201 |
| $39 (-11%) โ target | +$56 | +$60 | +$72 | +$201 |
| $42 (-5%) | +$25 | +$22 | +$20 | +$39 |
| $43 (-2%) | +$10 | +$4 | -$6 | -$92 |
| $44 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$8 | -$23 | -$180 |
| $45 (+2%) | -$10 | -$20 | -$39 | -$199 |
| $46 (+5%) | -$24 | -$37 | -$62 | -$199 |
| $48 (+10%) | -$47 | -$64 | -$96 | -$199 |
| $50 (+15%) | -$67 | -$88 | -$124 | -$199 |
| $53 (+20%) | -$86 | -$108 | -$146 | -$199 |
Uses RBRK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.