Target Price Playground
RBRK
$43.81
๐ข
RBRK IV: 72.5% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 106.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $49 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $44 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.64 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $47 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.45 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RBRK hits $49 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$181 (151.6%) on $119 risked, vs +$519 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $4,381. Options give 12.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RBRK is at $49. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RBRK hits $49 by Jun 19
+$181
+151.6% on $119 risked
Max Profit
+$181
If the stock โฅ $47 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$119
Net debit
Break-even
$45.19
+3.16% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.19 / 0.03 / -0.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RBRK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $35 (-20%) | -$68 | -$79 | -$98 | -$119 |
| $37 (-15%) | -$52 | -$62 | -$81 | -$119 |
| $39 (-10%) | -$35 | -$42 | -$59 | -$119 |
| $42 (-5%) | -$18 | -$21 | -$32 | -$119 |
| $43 (-2%) | -$7 | -$8 | -$14 | -$119 |
| $44 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | -$2 | -$119 |
| $45 (+2%) | +$7 | +$9 | +$10 | -$50 |
| $46 (+5%) | +$18 | +$22 | +$28 | +$81 |
| $48 (+10%) | +$35 | +$43 | +$58 | +$181 |
| $49 (+12%) โ target | +$41 | +$51 | +$68 | +$181 |
| $50 (+15%) | +$52 | +$63 | +$84 | +$181 |
| $53 (+20%) | +$67 | +$81 | +$107 | +$181 |
Uses RBRK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.