Target Price Playground
RBRK
$43.81
๐ข
RBRK IV: 72.5% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 106.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $42 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $44 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.43 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $42 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.42 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RBRK hits $42 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$252 (125.2%) on $201 risked, vs $-181 (-4.1%) for 100 shares on $4,381. Options give 30.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RBRK is at $42. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RBRK hits $42 by Jun 19
+$252
+125.2% on $201 risked
Max Profit
+$245
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$151
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$48.16
+9.93% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
90%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-4.15 / 0.59 / 1.6
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RBRK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $35 (-20%) | +$19 | +$32 | +$50 | +$41 |
| $37 (-15%) | +$18 | +$34 | +$61 | +$86 |
| $39 (-10%) | +$15 | +$32 | +$65 | +$150 |
| $42 (-4%) โ target | +$7 | +$25 | +$59 | +$252 |
| $43 (-2%) | +$4 | +$21 | +$54 | +$204 |
| $44 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$17 | +$48 | +$162 |
| $45 (+2%) | -$3 | +$12 | +$41 | +$123 |
| $46 (+5%) | -$10 | +$4 | +$29 | +$71 |
| $48 (+10%) | -$21 | -$10 | +$6 | -$1 |
| $50 (+15%) | -$33 | -$27 | -$20 | -$56 |
| $53 (+20%) | -$46 | -$43 | -$46 | -$97 |
Uses RBRK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.