Target Price Playground
RBRK
$43.81
๐ข
RBRK IV: 72.5% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 106.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $49 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $44 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.64 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RBRK hits $49 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-64 (-11.4%) on $564 risked, vs +$519 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $4,381. Options give 1.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RBRK is at $49. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RBRK hits $49 by Jun 19
$-64
-11.4% on $564 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$564
Premium paid
Break-even
$49.64
+13.31% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.84 / -4.35 / 7.38
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RBRK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $35 (-20%) | -$382 | -$451 | -$523 | -$564 |
| $37 (-15%) | -$309 | -$391 | -$485 | -$564 |
| $39 (-10%) | -$221 | -$313 | -$426 | -$564 |
| $42 (-5%) | -$117 | -$218 | -$345 | -$564 |
| $43 (-2%) | -$49 | -$152 | -$285 | -$564 |
| $44 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$105 | -$240 | -$564 |
| $45 (+2%) | +$51 | -$55 | -$191 | -$495 |
| $46 (+5%) | +$131 | +$25 | -$112 | -$364 |
| $48 (+10%) | +$275 | +$169 | +$37 | -$145 |
| $49 (+12%) โ target | +$330 | +$226 | +$97 | -$64 |
| $50 (+15%) | +$429 | +$327 | +$204 | +$74 |
| $53 (+20%) | +$593 | +$496 | +$385 | +$293 |
Uses RBRK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.