Target Price Playground
RBRK
$43.81
๐ข
RBRK IV: 72.5% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 106.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $39 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $44 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.47 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RBRK hits $39 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-47 (-8.6%) on $547 risked, vs $-481 (-11.0%) for 100 shares on $4,381. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RBRK is at $39. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RBRK hits $39 by Jun 19
$-47
-8.6% on $547 risked
Max Profit
+$3,853
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$547
Premium paid
Break-even
$38.53
-12.05% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.16 / -3.81 / 7.38
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RBRK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $35 (-20%) | +$494 | +$437 | +$377 | +$348 |
| $37 (-15%) | +$348 | +$278 | +$196 | +$129 |
| $39 (-11%) โ target | +$242 | +$163 | +$65 | -$47 |
| $42 (-5%) | +$101 | +$13 | -$103 | -$309 |
| $43 (-2%) | +$39 | -$53 | -$174 | -$440 |
| $44 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$93 | -$216 | -$528 |
| $45 (+2%) | -$37 | -$131 | -$256 | -$547 |
| $46 (+5%) | -$88 | -$183 | -$307 | -$547 |
| $48 (+10%) | -$164 | -$257 | -$377 | -$547 |
| $50 (+15%) | -$228 | -$319 | -$429 | -$547 |
| $53 (+20%) | -$283 | -$368 | -$467 | -$547 |
Uses RBRK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.