Target Price Playground
RBRK
$43.81
๐ข
RBRK IV: 72.5% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 106.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $48 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $43.81 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $42 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.42 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RBRK hits $48 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-23 (-0.5%) on $4,823 risked, vs +$419 (9.6%) for 100 shares on $4,381. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RBRK is at $48. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RBRK hits $48 by Jun 19
$-23
-0.5% on $4,823 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$623
Put floors you at $42
Break-even
$48.23
+10.09% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.46 / -3.71 / 7.12
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RBRK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $35 (-20%) | -$432 | -$496 | -$569 | -$623 |
| $37 (-15%) | -$347 | -$422 | -$516 | -$623 |
| $39 (-10%) | -$246 | -$330 | -$438 | -$623 |
| $42 (-5%) | -$130 | -$219 | -$336 | -$623 |
| $43 (-2%) | -$54 | -$144 | -$263 | -$530 |
| $44 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$91 | -$209 | -$442 |
| $45 (+2%) | +$56 | -$35 | -$152 | -$354 |
| $46 (+5%) | +$143 | +$53 | -$61 | -$223 |
| $48 (+10%) โ target | +$284 | +$197 | +$91 | -$23 |
| $50 (+15%) | +$463 | +$382 | +$288 | +$215 |
| $53 (+20%) | +$637 | +$562 | +$482 | +$434 |
Uses RBRK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.