Target Price Playground
RBRK
$43.81
๐ข
RBRK IV: 72.5% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 106.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $50 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $44 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.64 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $44 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.47 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RBRK hits $50 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-511 (-46.0%) on $1,111 risked, vs +$619 (14.1%) for 100 shares on $4,381. Options give 3.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RBRK is at $50. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RBRK hits $50 by Jun 19
$-511
-46.0% on $1,111 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,111
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$32.89
-24.93% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.67 / -8.16 / 14.76
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RBRK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $35 (-20%) | +$112 | -$14 | -$146 | -$216 |
| $37 (-15%) | +$39 | -$113 | -$289 | -$435 |
| $39 (-10%) | -$3 | -$177 | -$391 | -$654 |
| $42 (-5%) | -$16 | -$205 | -$448 | -$873 |
| $43 (-2%) | -$10 | -$205 | -$459 | -$1,004 |
| $44 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$198 | -$456 | -$1,092 |
| $45 (+2%) | +$14 | -$186 | -$447 | -$1,042 |
| $46 (+5%) | +$43 | -$158 | -$419 | -$911 |
| $48 (+10%) | +$111 | -$88 | -$340 | -$692 |
| $50 (+14%) โ target | +$184 | -$10 | -$247 | -$511 |
| $53 (+20%) | +$310 | +$128 | -$82 | -$254 |
Uses RBRK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.