Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
REGN
$748.87
๐ŸŸข
REGN IV: 38.0% โ€” LOW (-45.8% vs 30d avg of 70.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $710 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $750 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $54.53 ยท ฮ” -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $710 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $28.1 ยท ฮ” -0.34
P&L at Expiry Now $749 Target $710 $524 $749 $974
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If REGN hits $710 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$2,677 (101.3%) on $2,643 risked, vs $-3,887 (-5.2%) for 100 shares on $74,887. Options give 19.5ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if REGN is at $710. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if REGN hits $710 by Jun 19
+$2,677
+101.3% on $2,643 risked
Max Profit
+$2,662
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$2,624
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$759.30
+1.39% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-10.27 / 8.74 / 29.32
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

REGN Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$599 (-20%) +$1,066 +$1,177 +$1,251 +$1,148
$637 (-15%) +$933 +$1,111 +$1,328 +$1,310
$674 (-10%) +$695 +$905 +$1,245 +$1,764
$710 (-5%) โ† target +$371 +$558 +$897 +$2,677
$734 (-2%) +$116 +$260 +$520 +$1,227
$749 (0%) โ† spot -$55 +$54 +$242 +$464
$764 (+2%) -$231 -$161 -$56 -$187
$786 (+5%) -$499 -$489 -$511 -$967
$824 (+10%) -$934 -$1,018 -$1,209 -$1,823
$861 (+15%) -$1,328 -$1,478 -$1,753 -$2,278
$899 (+20%) -$1,665 -$1,845 -$2,126 -$2,494
Uses REGN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.