Target Price Playground
RGTI
$14.68
๐ข
RGTI IV: 90.5% โ LOW
(-22.2% vs 30d avg of 116.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $13 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $15 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.03 ยท ฮ -0.4
SHORT PUT ยท $14 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.52 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RGTI hits $13 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$49 (95.3%) on $51 risked, vs $-168 (-11.4%) for 100 shares on $1,468. Options give 8.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RGTI is at $13. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RGTI hits $13 by Jun 19
+$49
+95.3% on $51 risked
Max Profit
+$49
If the stock โค $14 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$51
Net debit
Break-even
$13.99
-4.71% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-7.12 / -0.08 / 0.15
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RGTI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12 (-20%) | +$22 | +$24 | +$30 | +$49 |
| $12 (-15%) | +$17 | +$18 | +$22 | +$49 |
| $13 (-11%) โ target | +$13 | +$13 | +$15 | +$49 |
| $13 (-10%) | +$11 | +$11 | +$13 | +$49 |
| $14 (-5%) | +$5 | +$5 | +$3 | +$4 |
| $14 (-2%) | +$2 | +$1 | -$2 | -$40 |
| $15 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$2 | -$6 | -$51 |
| $15 (+2%) | -$2 | -$4 | -$9 | -$51 |
| $15 (+5%) | -$5 | -$8 | -$14 | -$51 |
| $16 (+10%) | -$10 | -$14 | -$22 | -$51 |
| $17 (+15%) | -$14 | -$19 | -$28 | -$51 |
| $18 (+20%) | -$18 | -$24 | -$34 | -$51 |
Uses RGTI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.