Target Price Playground
RGTI
$14.68
๐ข
RGTI IV: 90.5% โ LOW
(-22.2% vs 30d avg of 116.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $17 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $15 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.33 ยท ฮ 0.6
SHORT CALL ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.94 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RGTI hits $17 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$111 (286.7%) on $39 risked, vs +$182 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $1,468. Options give 23.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RGTI is at $17. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RGTI hits $17 by Jun 19
+$111
+286.7% on $39 risked
Max Profit
+$111
If the stock โฅ $16 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$39
Net debit
Break-even
$14.89
+1.42% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.43 / -0.03 / -0.15
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RGTI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12 (-20%) | -$10 | -$14 | -$24 | -$39 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$3 | -$7 | -$15 | -$39 |
| $13 (-10%) | +$5 | +$2 | -$5 | -$39 |
| $14 (-5%) | +$12 | +$11 | +$7 | -$39 |
| $14 (-2%) | +$17 | +$17 | +$15 | -$39 |
| $15 (0%) โ spot | +$20 | +$20 | +$20 | -$21 |
| $15 (+2%) | +$23 | +$24 | +$25 | +$8 |
| $15 (+5%) | +$27 | +$30 | +$33 | +$52 |
| $16 (+10%) | +$35 | +$39 | +$45 | +$111 |
| $17 (+12%) โ target | +$38 | +$43 | +$51 | +$111 |
| $17 (+15%) | +$41 | +$47 | +$57 | +$111 |
| $18 (+20%) | +$48 | +$55 | +$67 | +$111 |
Uses RGTI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.