Target Price Playground
๐ Strategy
๐ฏ Target
โ๏ธ Legs
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RGTI hits $16 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$152 (12.7%) on $-152 credit (max loss $1,198), vs +$82 (5.6%) for 100 shares on $1,468. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RGTI is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RGTI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12 (-20%) | -$130 | -$101 | -$66 | -$24 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$90 | -$59 | -$18 | +$50 |
| $13 (-10%) | -$56 | -$23 | +$22 | +$123 |
| $14 (-5%) | -$26 | +$9 | +$54 | +$152 |
| $14 (-2%) | -$10 | +$25 | +$70 | +$152 |
| $15 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$35 | +$80 | +$152 |
| $15 (+2%) | +$10 | +$44 | +$88 | +$152 |
| $16 (+6%) โ target | +$25 | +$59 | +$102 | +$152 |
| $16 (+10%) | +$43 | +$75 | +$115 | +$152 |
| $17 (+15%) | +$59 | +$90 | +$126 | +$152 |
| $18 (+20%) | +$74 | +$103 | +$134 | +$152 |