Target Price Playground
RGTI
$14.68
๐ข
RGTI IV: 90.5% โ LOW
(-22.2% vs 30d avg of 116.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $14 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $15 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.41 ยท ฮ -0.39
SHORT PUT ยท $14 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.87 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RGTI hits $14 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$108 (200.5%) on $54 risked, vs $-68 (-4.6%) for 100 shares on $1,468. Options give 43.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RGTI is at $14. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RGTI hits $14 by Jun 19
+$108
+200.5% on $54 risked
Max Profit
+$107
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$28
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$17.18
+17.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
90%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-1.0 / 0.26 / 0.47
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RGTI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12 (-20%) | +$12 | +$17 | +$25 | +$26 |
| $12 (-15%) | +$13 | +$19 | +$30 | +$46 |
| $13 (-10%) | +$13 | +$19 | +$32 | +$72 |
| $14 (-5%) โ target | +$12 | +$19 | +$32 | +$108 |
| $14 (-2%) | +$11 | +$18 | +$31 | +$89 |
| $15 (0%) โ spot | +$11 | +$17 | +$30 | +$76 |
| $15 (+2%) | +$10 | +$16 | +$28 | +$64 |
| $15 (+5%) | +$9 | +$15 | +$26 | +$48 |
| $16 (+10%) | +$6 | +$11 | +$20 | +$25 |
| $17 (+15%) | +$4 | +$8 | +$13 | +$6 |
| $18 (+20%) | +$1 | +$4 | +$6 | -$8 |
Uses RGTI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.