Target Price Playground
RGTI
$14.68
๐ข
RGTI IV: 90.5% โ LOW
(-22.2% vs 30d avg of 116.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $17 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $15 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.33 ยท ฮ 0.6
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RGTI hits $17 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-33 (-14.1%) on $233 risked, vs +$182 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $1,468. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RGTI is at $17. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RGTI hits $17 by Jun 19
$-33
-14.1% on $233 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$233
Premium paid
Break-even
$16.83
+14.63% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.61 / -1.68 / 2.44
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RGTI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12 (-20%) | -$142 | -$172 | -$206 | -$233 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$113 | -$147 | -$188 | -$233 |
| $13 (-10%) | -$80 | -$117 | -$164 | -$233 |
| $14 (-5%) | -$42 | -$81 | -$132 | -$233 |
| $14 (-2%) | -$17 | -$57 | -$109 | -$233 |
| $15 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$41 | -$93 | -$215 |
| $15 (+2%) | +$17 | -$24 | -$76 | -$186 |
| $15 (+5%) | +$45 | +$4 | -$49 | -$142 |
| $16 (+10%) | +$95 | +$54 | +$3 | -$68 |
| $17 (+12%) โ target | +$119 | +$79 | +$29 | -$33 |
| $17 (+15%) | +$146 | +$107 | +$58 | +$5 |
| $18 (+20%) | +$202 | +$163 | +$119 | +$79 |
Uses RGTI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.