Target Price Playground
RGTI
$14.68
๐ข
RGTI IV: 90.5% โ LOW
(-22.2% vs 30d avg of 116.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $13 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $15 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.03 ยท ฮ -0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RGTI hits $13 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-53 (-26.1%) on $203 risked, vs $-168 (-11.4%) for 100 shares on $1,468. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RGTI is at $13. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RGTI hits $13 by Jun 19
$-53
-26.1% on $203 risked
Max Profit
+$1,247
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$203
Premium paid
Break-even
$12.47
-15.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-40.39 / -1.5 / 2.44
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RGTI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12 (-20%) | +$152 | +$126 | +$96 | +$73 |
| $12 (-15%) | +$107 | +$77 | +$40 | -$1 |
| $13 (-11%) โ target | +$78 | +$46 | +$4 | -$53 |
| $13 (-10%) | +$67 | +$34 | -$9 | -$74 |
| $14 (-5%) | +$31 | -$4 | -$51 | -$148 |
| $14 (-2%) | +$12 | -$24 | -$73 | -$192 |
| $15 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$37 | -$85 | -$203 |
| $15 (+2%) | -$12 | -$49 | -$97 | -$203 |
| $15 (+5%) | -$28 | -$65 | -$114 | -$203 |
| $16 (+10%) | -$52 | -$89 | -$136 | -$203 |
| $17 (+15%) | -$74 | -$109 | -$154 | -$203 |
| $18 (+20%) | -$92 | -$127 | -$167 | -$203 |
Uses RGTI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.