Target Price Playground
RGTI
$14.68
๐ข
RGTI IV: 90.5% โ LOW
(-22.2% vs 30d avg of 116.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $14.68 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $14 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.87 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RGTI hits $16 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-55 (-3.3%) on $1,655 risked, vs +$132 (9.0%) for 100 shares on $1,468. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RGTI is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RGTI hits $16 by Jun 19
$-55
-3.3% on $1,655 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$255
Put floors you at $14
Break-even
$16.55
+12.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
61.96 / -1.49 / 2.4
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RGTI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12 (-20%) | -$164 | -$191 | -$224 | -$255 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$132 | -$163 | -$202 | -$255 |
| $13 (-10%) | -$96 | -$129 | -$173 | -$255 |
| $14 (-5%) | -$55 | -$90 | -$137 | -$255 |
| $14 (-2%) | -$29 | -$64 | -$112 | -$216 |
| $15 (0%) โ spot | -$11 | -$47 | -$94 | -$187 |
| $15 (+2%) | +$8 | -$28 | -$75 | -$158 |
| $15 (+5%) | +$37 | +$1 | -$45 | -$114 |
| $16 (+9%) โ target | +$78 | +$43 | -$1 | -$55 |
| $16 (+10%) | +$89 | +$54 | +$11 | -$40 |
| $17 (+15%) | +$143 | +$110 | +$70 | +$33 |
| $18 (+20%) | +$201 | +$169 | +$133 | +$107 |
Uses RGTI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.