Target Price Playground
RGTI
$14.68
๐ข
RGTI IV: 90.5% โ LOW
(-22.2% vs 30d avg of 116.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $14.68 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $16 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.94 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RGTI hits $16 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$326 (25.6%) on $1,274 risked, vs +$132 (9.0%) for 100 shares on $1,468. Options give 2.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RGTI is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RGTI hits $16 by Jun 19
+$326
+25.6% on $1,274 risked
Max Profit
+$326
If the stock โฅ $16 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,274
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$12.74
-13.22% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
51.82 / 1.65 / -2.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RGTI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12 (-20%) | -$161 | -$136 | -$111 | -$100 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$110 | -$79 | -$47 | -$26 |
| $13 (-10%) | -$63 | -$28 | +$12 | +$47 |
| $14 (-5%) | -$19 | +$19 | +$66 | +$121 |
| $14 (-2%) | +$5 | +$45 | +$95 | +$165 |
| $15 (0%) โ spot | +$20 | +$61 | +$113 | +$194 |
| $15 (+2%) | +$34 | +$77 | +$131 | +$223 |
| $15 (+5%) | +$55 | +$99 | +$154 | +$267 |
| $16 (+9%) โ target | +$81 | +$125 | +$183 | +$326 |
| $16 (+10%) | +$87 | +$132 | +$190 | +$326 |
| $17 (+15%) | +$115 | +$160 | +$219 | +$326 |
| $18 (+20%) | +$140 | +$185 | +$242 | +$326 |
Uses RGTI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.