Target Price Playground
RNG
$33.49
๐ข
RNG IV: 52.6% โ LOW
(-54.7% vs 30d avg of 116.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $38 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $33 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.12 ยท ฮ 0.59
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RNG hits $38 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$88 (21.3%) on $412 risked, vs +$451 (13.5%) for 100 shares on $3,349. Options give 1.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RNG is at $38. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RNG hits $38 by Jun 19
+$88
+21.3% on $412 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$412
Premium paid
Break-even
$37.12
+10.84% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.82 / -2.95 / 5.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RNG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $27 (-20%) | -$294 | -$340 | -$387 | -$412 |
| $28 (-15%) | -$240 | -$295 | -$359 | -$412 |
| $30 (-10%) | -$173 | -$236 | -$313 | -$412 |
| $32 (-5%) | -$92 | -$161 | -$248 | -$412 |
| $33 (-2%) | -$38 | -$109 | -$199 | -$412 |
| $33 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$71 | -$162 | -$363 |
| $34 (+2%) | +$40 | -$31 | -$122 | -$296 |
| $35 (+5%) | +$104 | +$33 | -$57 | -$196 |
| $37 (+10%) | +$219 | +$150 | +$66 | -$28 |
| $38 (+13%) โ target | +$303 | +$237 | +$160 | +$88 |
| $39 (+15%) | +$342 | +$277 | +$203 | +$139 |
| $40 (+20%) | +$474 | +$414 | +$350 | +$307 |
Uses RNG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.