Target Price Playground
ROP
$343.15
๐ข
ROP IV: 32.6% โ LOW
(-44.6% vs 30d avg of 58.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $385 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.03 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.52 ยท ฮ 0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ROP hits $385 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,549 (162.8%) on $951 risked, vs +$4,185 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $34,315. Options give 13.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ROP is at $385. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ROP hits $385 by Jun 19
+$1,549
+162.8% on $951 risked
Max Profit
+$1,549
If the stock โฅ $370 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$951
Net debit
Break-even
$354.51
+3.31% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
19.1 / -1.74 / 4.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ROP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | -$870 | -$919 | -$948 | -$951 |
| $292 (-15%) | -$758 | -$845 | -$929 | -$951 |
| $309 (-10%) | -$573 | -$684 | -$841 | -$951 |
| $326 (-5%) | -$312 | -$413 | -$599 | -$951 |
| $336 (-2%) | -$129 | -$204 | -$359 | -$951 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$52 | -$165 | -$951 |
| $350 (+2%) | +$132 | +$107 | +$48 | -$450 |
| $360 (+5%) | +$330 | +$348 | +$380 | +$580 |
| $377 (+10%) | +$641 | +$722 | +$879 | +$1,549 |
| $385 (+12%) โ target | +$764 | +$865 | +$1,052 | +$1,549 |
| $395 (+15%) | +$906 | +$1,024 | +$1,225 | +$1,549 |
| $412 (+20%) | +$1,115 | +$1,239 | +$1,415 | +$1,549 |
Uses ROP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.