Target Price Playground
ROP
$343.15
๐ข
ROP IV: 32.4% โ LOW
(-45.0% vs 30d avg of 58.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.04 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.19 ยท ฮ -0.23
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ROP hits $300 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$1,815 (153.1%) on $1,185 risked, vs $-4,315 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $34,315. Options give 12.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ROP is at $300. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ROP hits $300 by Jun 19
+$1,815
+153.1% on $1,185 risked
Max Profit
+$1,815
If the stock โค $315 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,185
Net debit
Break-even
$333.15
-2.92% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
38%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-23.01 / -2.22 / 13.4
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ROP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | +$1,490 | +$1,614 | +$1,753 | +$1,815 |
| $292 (-15%) | +$1,210 | +$1,350 | +$1,569 | +$1,815 |
| $300 (-13%) โ target | +$1,039 | +$1,168 | +$1,393 | +$1,815 |
| $309 (-10%) | +$838 | +$940 | +$1,136 | +$1,815 |
| $326 (-5%) | +$416 | +$437 | +$481 | +$716 |
| $336 (-2%) | +$162 | +$130 | +$61 | -$314 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$64 | -$198 | -$1,000 |
| $350 (+2%) | -$153 | -$245 | -$429 | -$1,185 |
| $360 (+5%) | -$362 | -$485 | -$708 | -$1,185 |
| $377 (+10%) | -$648 | -$787 | -$995 | -$1,185 |
| $395 (+15%) | -$853 | -$978 | -$1,122 | -$1,185 |
| $412 (+20%) | -$991 | -$1,086 | -$1,168 | -$1,185 |
Uses ROP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.