Target Price Playground
ROP
$343.15
๐ข
ROP IV: 32.6% โ LOW
(-44.6% vs 30d avg of 58.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $325 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $345 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $22.15 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $325 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.34 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ROP hits $325 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,215 (102.9%) on $1,180 risked, vs $-1,815 (-5.3%) for 100 shares on $34,315. Options give 19.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ROP is at $325. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ROP hits $325 by Jun 19
+$1,215
+102.9% on $1,180 risked
Max Profit
+$1,205
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,178
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$345.67
+0.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-14.6 / 1.42 / 17.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ROP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | +$656 | +$703 | +$730 | +$707 |
| $292 (-15%) | +$579 | +$659 | +$748 | +$744 |
| $309 (-10%) | +$439 | +$536 | +$686 | +$883 |
| $325 (-5%) โ target | +$252 | +$335 | +$483 | +$1,214 |
| $336 (-2%) | +$98 | +$156 | +$257 | +$485 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | +$37 | +$99 | +$119 |
| $350 (+2%) | -$101 | -$84 | -$66 | -$188 |
| $360 (+5%) | -$252 | -$266 | -$309 | -$545 |
| $377 (+10%) | -$486 | -$543 | -$654 | -$909 |
| $395 (+15%) | -$686 | -$765 | -$893 | -$1,079 |
| $412 (+20%) | -$843 | -$926 | -$1,036 | -$1,147 |
Uses ROP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.