Target Price Playground
ROP
$343.15
๐ข
ROP IV: 32.4% โ LOW
(-45.0% vs 30d avg of 58.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $385 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.03 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ROP hits $385 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,997 (99.7%) on $2,003 risked, vs +$4,185 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $34,315. Options give 8.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ROP is at $385. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ROP hits $385 by Jun 19
+$1,997
+99.7% on $2,003 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,003
Premium paid
Break-even
$365.03
+6.38% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.65 / -16.57 / 58.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ROP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | -$1,886 | -$1,964 | -$2,000 | -$2,003 |
| $292 (-15%) | -$1,703 | -$1,863 | -$1,979 | -$2,003 |
| $309 (-10%) | -$1,358 | -$1,618 | -$1,875 | -$2,003 |
| $326 (-5%) | -$799 | -$1,148 | -$1,562 | -$2,003 |
| $336 (-2%) | -$349 | -$732 | -$1,211 | -$2,003 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$396 | -$898 | -$2,003 |
| $350 (+2%) | +$387 | -$14 | -$519 | -$1,502 |
| $360 (+5%) | +$1,036 | +$643 | +$163 | -$472 |
| $377 (+10%) | +$2,278 | +$1,928 | +$1,546 | +$1,244 |
| $385 (+12%) โ target | +$2,877 | +$2,554 | +$2,221 | +$1,997 |
| $395 (+15%) | +$3,682 | +$3,395 | +$3,122 | +$2,959 |
| $412 (+20%) | +$5,205 | +$4,979 | +$4,791 | +$4,675 |
Uses ROP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.