Target Price Playground
ROP
$343.15
๐ข
ROP IV: 32.4% โ LOW
(-45.0% vs 30d avg of 58.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.04 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ROP hits $300 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$2,596 (136.3%) on $1,904 risked, vs $-4,315 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $34,315. Options give 10.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ROP is at $300. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ROP hits $300 by Jun 19
+$2,596
+136.3% on $1,904 risked
Max Profit
+$32,596
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,904
Premium paid
Break-even
$325.96
-5.01% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
38%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-46.35 / -12.35 / 58.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ROP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | +$4,977 | +$4,993 | +$5,049 | +$5,144 |
| $292 (-15%) | +$3,444 | +$3,377 | +$3,355 | +$3,428 |
| $300 (-13%) โ target | +$2,756 | +$2,641 | +$2,556 | +$2,596 |
| $309 (-10%) | +$2,074 | +$1,907 | +$1,743 | +$1,713 |
| $326 (-5%) | +$917 | +$661 | +$341 | -$3 |
| $336 (-2%) | +$338 | +$47 | -$339 | -$1,033 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$303 | -$712 | -$1,719 |
| $350 (+2%) | -$299 | -$607 | -$1,019 | -$1,904 |
| $360 (+5%) | -$680 | -$980 | -$1,367 | -$1,904 |
| $377 (+10%) | -$1,154 | -$1,410 | -$1,700 | -$1,904 |
| $395 (+15%) | -$1,465 | -$1,659 | -$1,838 | -$1,904 |
| $412 (+20%) | -$1,657 | -$1,791 | -$1,886 | -$1,904 |
Uses ROP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.