Target Price Playground
ROP
$343.15
๐ข
ROP IV: 32.6% โ LOW
(-44.6% vs 30d avg of 58.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $375 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $343.15 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $325 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.34 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ROP hits $375 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$2,151 (6.1%) on $35,349 risked, vs +$3,185 (9.3%) for 100 shares on $34,315. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ROP is at $375. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ROP hits $375 by Jun 19
+$2,151
+6.1% on $35,349 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,849
Put floors you at $325
Break-even
$353.49
+3.01% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
69.47 / -11.42 / 51.52
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ROP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | -$2,838 | -$2,899 | -$2,919 | -$2,849 |
| $292 (-15%) | -$2,489 | -$2,651 | -$2,813 | -$2,849 |
| $309 (-10%) | -$1,912 | -$2,161 | -$2,476 | -$2,849 |
| $326 (-5%) | -$1,079 | -$1,368 | -$1,757 | -$2,750 |
| $336 (-2%) | -$459 | -$746 | -$1,121 | -$1,720 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$276 | -$623 | -$1,034 |
| $350 (+2%) | +$493 | +$234 | -$74 | -$348 |
| $360 (+5%) | +$1,289 | +$1,064 | +$822 | +$682 |
| $375 (+9%) โ target | +$2,521 | +$2,349 | +$2,199 | +$2,151 |
| $395 (+15%) | +$4,294 | +$4,189 | +$4,122 | +$4,113 |
| $412 (+20%) | +$5,921 | +$5,859 | +$5,831 | +$5,829 |
Uses ROP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.