Target Price Playground
RPD
$5.07
๐ข
RPD IV: 80.5% โ LOW
(-24.4% vs 30d avg of 106.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $5.07 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.58 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RPD hits $6 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$101 (22.6%) on $449 risked, vs +$43 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $507. Options give 2.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RPD is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RPD hits $6 by Jun 19
+$101
+22.6% on $449 risked
Max Profit
+$101
If the stock โฅ $6 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$449
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$4.49
-11.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
50.72 / 0.57 / -0.87
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RPD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$63 | -$55 | -$47 | -$43 |
| $4 (-15%) | -$45 | -$35 | -$25 | -$18 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$29 | -$18 | -$4 | +$7 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$14 | -$1 | +$15 | +$33 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$6 | +$8 | +$25 | +$48 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$13 | +$31 | +$58 |
| $5 (+2%) | +$5 | +$19 | +$37 | +$68 |
| $5 (+5%) | +$12 | +$26 | +$45 | +$83 |
| $6 (+8%) โ target | +$19 | +$34 | +$53 | +$101 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$23 | +$38 | +$57 | +$101 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$32 | +$47 | +$67 | +$101 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$41 | +$56 | +$74 | +$101 |
Uses RPD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.