Target Price Playground
RPD
$5.07
๐ข
RPD IV: 80.5% โ LOW
(-24.4% vs 30d avg of 106.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.78 ยท ฮ 0.6
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RPD hits $6 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-28 (-36.1%) on $78 risked, vs +$43 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $507. Options give 4.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RPD is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RPD hits $6 by Jun 19
$-28
-36.1% on $78 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$78
Premium paid
Break-even
$5.78
+14.06% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.61 / -0.56 / 0.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RPD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$48 | -$58 | -$69 | -$78 |
| $4 (-15%) | -$39 | -$50 | -$63 | -$78 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$27 | -$40 | -$55 | -$78 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$14 | -$27 | -$44 | -$78 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$6 | -$19 | -$36 | -$78 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$13 | -$31 | -$71 |
| $5 (+2%) | +$6 | -$7 | -$25 | -$61 |
| $5 (+5%) | +$16 | +$2 | -$15 | -$46 |
| $6 (+8%) โ target | +$28 | +$14 | -$3 | -$28 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$33 | +$20 | +$3 | -$20 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$51 | +$38 | +$22 | +$5 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$70 | +$57 | +$43 | +$30 |
Uses RPD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.