Target Price Playground
RPD
$5.07
๐ข
RPD IV: 80.5% โ LOW
(-24.4% vs 30d avg of 106.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.67 ยท ฮ -0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RPD hits $5 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-17 (-25.6%) on $67 risked, vs $-57 (-11.2%) for 100 shares on $507. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RPD is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RPD hits $5 by Jun 19
$-17
-25.6% on $67 risked
Max Profit
+$433
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$67
Premium paid
Break-even
$4.33
-14.63% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-40.39 / -0.5 / 0.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RPD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | +$53 | +$44 | +$34 | +$27 |
| $4 (-15%) | +$37 | +$27 | +$15 | +$2 |
| $5 (-11%) โ target | +$27 | +$16 | +$2 | -$17 |
| $5 (-10%) | +$24 | +$13 | -$2 | -$23 |
| $5 (-5%) | +$11 | -$1 | -$16 | -$49 |
| $5 (-2%) | +$4 | -$8 | -$24 | -$64 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$12 | -$28 | -$67 |
| $5 (+2%) | -$4 | -$16 | -$32 | -$67 |
| $5 (+5%) | -$9 | -$22 | -$38 | -$67 |
| $6 (+10%) | -$18 | -$30 | -$46 | -$67 |
| $6 (+15%) | -$25 | -$37 | -$51 | -$67 |
| $6 (+20%) | -$31 | -$43 | -$56 | -$67 |
Uses RPD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.