Target Price Playground
RPD
$5.07
๐ข
RPD IV: 88.1% โ LOW
(-17.3% vs 30d avg of 106.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $5.07 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RPD hits $6 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$43 (8.5%) on $507 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RPD hits $6 by Jun 19
+$43
+8.5% on $507 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$507
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$5.07
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RPD Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$101 | -$101 | -$101 |
| $4 (-15%) | -$76 | -$76 | -$76 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$51 | -$51 | -$51 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$25 | -$25 | -$25 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$10 | -$10 | -$10 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $5 (+2%) | +$10 | +$10 | +$10 |
| $5 (+5%) | +$25 | +$25 | +$25 |
| $6 (+8%) โ target | +$43 | +$43 | +$43 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$51 | +$51 | +$51 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$76 | +$76 | +$76 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$101 | +$101 | +$101 |
Uses RPD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.