Target Price Playground
RTX
$201.56
๐ข
RTX IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $225 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $200 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.98 ยท ฮ 0.59
SHORT CALL ยท $220 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.75 ยท ฮ 0.27
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RTX hits $225 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,177 (143.0%) on $823 risked, vs +$2,344 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $20,156. Options give 12.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RTX is at $225. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RTX hits $225 by Jun 19
+$1,177
+143.0% on $823 risked
Max Profit
+$1,177
If the stock โฅ $220 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$823
Net debit
Break-even
$208.23
+3.31% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
31.19 / -1.8 / 1.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RTX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $161 (-20%) | -$768 | -$802 | -$821 | -$823 |
| $171 (-15%) | -$684 | -$749 | -$808 | -$823 |
| $181 (-10%) | -$538 | -$624 | -$742 | -$823 |
| $191 (-5%) | -$325 | -$407 | -$551 | -$823 |
| $198 (-2%) | -$173 | -$235 | -$357 | -$823 |
| $202 (0%) โ spot | -$66 | -$109 | -$198 | -$667 |
| $206 (+2%) | +$45 | +$23 | -$24 | -$264 |
| $212 (+5%) | +$210 | +$224 | +$248 | +$341 |
| $222 (+10%) | +$469 | +$533 | +$655 | +$1,177 |
| $225 (+12%) โ target | +$545 | +$621 | +$761 | +$1,177 |
| $232 (+15%) | +$687 | +$779 | +$932 | +$1,177 |
| $242 (+20%) | +$855 | +$950 | +$1,079 | +$1,177 |
Uses RTX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.