Target Price Playground
RTX
$201.56
๐ข
RTX IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $175 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $200 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.55 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $185 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.5 ยท ฮ -0.24
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RTX hits $175 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$995 (197.0%) on $505 risked, vs $-2,656 (-13.2%) for 100 shares on $20,156. Options give 14.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RTX is at $175. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RTX hits $175 by Jun 19
+$995
+197.0% on $505 risked
Max Profit
+$995
If the stock โค $185 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$505
Net debit
Break-even
$194.95
-3.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-18.37 / -1.1 / 5.9
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RTX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $161 (-20%) | +$837 | +$899 | +$967 | +$995 |
| $171 (-15%) | +$690 | +$761 | +$873 | +$995 |
| $175 (-13%) โ target | +$622 | +$690 | +$805 | +$995 |
| $181 (-10%) | +$490 | +$541 | +$638 | +$995 |
| $191 (-5%) | +$265 | +$271 | +$282 | +$347 |
| $198 (-2%) | +$131 | +$108 | +$60 | -$258 |
| $202 (0%) โ spot | +$46 | +$7 | -$73 | -$505 |
| $206 (+2%) | -$32 | -$85 | -$186 | -$505 |
| $212 (+5%) | -$138 | -$203 | -$317 | -$505 |
| $222 (+10%) | -$278 | -$346 | -$440 | -$505 |
| $232 (+15%) | -$373 | -$429 | -$487 | -$505 |
| $242 (+20%) | -$433 | -$472 | -$501 | -$505 |
Uses RTX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.