Target Price Playground
RTX
$201.56
๐ข
RTX IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $190 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $200 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.98 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.9 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RTX hits $190 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$736 (145.0%) on $508 risked, vs $-1,156 (-5.7%) for 100 shares on $20,156. Options give 25.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RTX is at $190. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RTX hits $190 by Jun 19
+$736
+145.0% on $508 risked
Max Profit
+$720
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$507
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$203.66
+1.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.58 / 1.91 / 11.68
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RTX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $161 (-20%) | +$411 | +$432 | +$442 | +$427 |
| $171 (-15%) | +$375 | +$415 | +$460 | +$451 |
| $181 (-10%) | +$303 | +$353 | +$433 | +$543 |
| $190 (-6%) โ target | +$213 | +$258 | +$337 | +$736 |
| $198 (-2%) | +$119 | +$148 | +$196 | +$278 |
| $202 (0%) โ spot | +$66 | +$83 | +$108 | +$85 |
| $206 (+2%) | +$12 | +$17 | +$18 | -$71 |
| $212 (+5%) | -$68 | -$80 | -$111 | -$245 |
| $222 (+10%) | -$191 | -$224 | -$285 | -$408 |
| $232 (+15%) | -$291 | -$333 | -$396 | -$476 |
| $242 (+20%) | -$367 | -$407 | -$457 | -$499 |
Uses RTX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.