Target Price Playground
RTX
$201.56
๐ข
RTX IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $175 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $200 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.55 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RTX hits $175 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,545 (161.8%) on $955 risked, vs $-2,656 (-13.2%) for 100 shares on $20,156. Options give 12.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RTX is at $175. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RTX hits $175 by Jun 19
+$1,545
+161.8% on $955 risked
Max Profit
+$19,045
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$955
Premium paid
Break-even
$190.45
-5.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.26 / -7.87 / 33.78
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RTX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $161 (-20%) | +$2,822 | +$2,832 | +$2,865 | +$2,920 |
| $171 (-15%) | +$1,925 | +$1,886 | +$1,871 | +$1,912 |
| $175 (-13%) โ target | +$1,622 | +$1,562 | +$1,519 | +$1,545 |
| $181 (-10%) | +$1,133 | +$1,035 | +$934 | +$905 |
| $191 (-5%) | +$477 | +$330 | +$141 | -$103 |
| $198 (-2%) | +$156 | -$8 | -$227 | -$708 |
| $202 (0%) โ spot | -$28 | -$196 | -$421 | -$955 |
| $206 (+2%) | -$188 | -$355 | -$575 | -$955 |
| $212 (+5%) | -$388 | -$545 | -$741 | -$955 |
| $222 (+10%) | -$627 | -$753 | -$885 | -$955 |
| $232 (+15%) | -$775 | -$864 | -$936 | -$955 |
| $242 (+20%) | -$861 | -$917 | -$951 | -$955 |
Uses RTX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.