Target Price Playground
RTX
$201.56
๐ข
RTX IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $225 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $201.56 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RTX hits $225 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$2,344 (11.6%) on $20,156 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RTX hits $225 by Jun 19
+$2,344
+11.6% on $20,156 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$20,156
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$201.56
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RTX Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $161 (-20%) | -$4,031 | -$4,031 | -$4,031 |
| $171 (-15%) | -$3,023 | -$3,023 | -$3,023 |
| $181 (-10%) | -$2,016 | -$2,016 | -$2,016 |
| $191 (-5%) | -$1,008 | -$1,008 | -$1,008 |
| $198 (-2%) | -$403 | -$403 | -$403 |
| $202 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $206 (+2%) | +$403 | +$403 | +$403 |
| $212 (+5%) | +$1,008 | +$1,008 | +$1,008 |
| $222 (+10%) | +$2,016 | +$2,016 | +$2,016 |
| $225 (+12%) โ target | +$2,344 | +$2,344 | +$2,344 |
| $232 (+15%) | +$3,023 | +$3,023 | +$3,023 |
| $242 (+20%) | +$4,031 | +$4,031 | +$4,031 |
Uses RTX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.