Target Price Playground
RTX
$201.56
๐ข
RTX IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $201.56 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.9 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RTX hits $220 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$1,254 (6.0%) on $20,746 risked, vs +$1,844 (9.1%) for 100 shares on $20,156. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RTX is at $220. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RTX hits $220 by Jun 19
+$1,254
+6.0% on $20,746 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,746
Put floors you at $190
Break-even
$207.46
+2.93% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
70.56 / -7.42 / 28.52
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RTX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $161 (-20%) | -$1,756 | -$1,784 | -$1,789 | -$1,746 |
| $171 (-15%) | -$1,557 | -$1,644 | -$1,730 | -$1,746 |
| $181 (-10%) | -$1,217 | -$1,354 | -$1,530 | -$1,746 |
| $191 (-5%) | -$717 | -$877 | -$1,091 | -$1,598 |
| $198 (-2%) | -$343 | -$499 | -$701 | -$993 |
| $202 (0%) โ spot | -$66 | -$214 | -$397 | -$590 |
| $206 (+2%) | +$231 | +$95 | -$64 | -$187 |
| $212 (+5%) | +$711 | +$595 | +$477 | +$418 |
| $220 (+9%) โ target | +$1,427 | +$1,342 | +$1,273 | +$1,254 |
| $232 (+15%) | +$2,511 | +$2,463 | +$2,436 | +$2,433 |
| $242 (+20%) | +$3,478 | +$3,452 | +$3,441 | +$3,441 |
Uses RTX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.