Target Price Playground
RTX
$201.56
๐ข
RTX IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $230 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $200 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.98 ยท ฮ 0.59
LONG PUT ยท $200 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.55 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RTX hits $230 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$847 (39.3%) on $2,153 risked, vs +$2,844 (14.1%) for 100 shares on $20,156. Options give 2.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RTX is at $230. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RTX hits $230 by Jun 19
+$847
+39.3% on $2,153 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,153
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$221.53
+9.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
30%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.32 / -16.11 / 67.49
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RTX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $161 (-20%) | +$1,690 | +$1,656 | +$1,669 | +$1,722 |
| $171 (-15%) | +$904 | +$773 | +$689 | +$714 |
| $181 (-10%) | +$327 | +$77 | -$178 | -$293 |
| $191 (-5%) | +$23 | -$325 | -$757 | -$1,301 |
| $198 (-2%) | -$14 | -$395 | -$887 | -$1,906 |
| $202 (0%) โ spot | +$21 | -$368 | -$872 | -$1,997 |
| $206 (+2%) | +$104 | -$284 | -$778 | -$1,594 |
| $212 (+5%) | +$309 | -$59 | -$504 | -$989 |
| $222 (+10%) | +$839 | +$534 | +$217 | +$19 |
| $230 (+14%) โ target | +$1,414 | +$1,169 | +$953 | +$847 |
| $242 (+20%) | +$2,387 | +$2,221 | +$2,099 | +$2,034 |
Uses RTX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.