Target Price Playground
RTX
$201.56
๐ข
RTX IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 55.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $201.56 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $220 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.75 ยท ฮ 0.27
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If RTX hits $220 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$2,219 (11.2%) on $19,781 risked, vs +$1,844 (9.1%) for 100 shares on $20,156. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if RTX is at $220. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if RTX hits $220 by Jun 19
+$2,219
+11.2% on $19,781 risked
Max Profit
+$2,219
If the stock โฅ $220 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$19,781
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$197.81
-1.86% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
72.62 / 6.45 / -32.23
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| RTX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $161 (-20%) | -$3,667 | -$3,658 | -$3,656 | -$3,656 |
| $171 (-15%) | -$2,687 | -$2,658 | -$2,648 | -$2,648 |
| $181 (-10%) | -$1,748 | -$1,683 | -$1,645 | -$1,641 |
| $191 (-5%) | -$880 | -$760 | -$662 | -$633 |
| $198 (-2%) | -$406 | -$251 | -$100 | -$28 |
| $202 (0%) โ spot | -$115 | +$63 | +$253 | +$375 |
| $206 (+2%) | +$156 | +$355 | +$582 | +$778 |
| $212 (+5%) | +$521 | +$745 | +$1,019 | +$1,383 |
| $220 (+9%) โ target | +$943 | +$1,186 | +$1,492 | +$2,219 |
| $232 (+15%) | +$1,384 | +$1,619 | +$1,898 | +$2,219 |
| $242 (+20%) | +$1,638 | +$1,843 | +$2,060 | +$2,219 |
Uses RTX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.