Target Price Playground
S
$11.94
๐ข
S IV: 56.7% โ LOW
(-44.1% vs 30d avg of 101.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $14 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $12 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.39 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $13 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.85 ยท ฮ 0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If S hits $14 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$46 (85.2%) on $54 risked, vs +$156 (13.1%) for 100 shares on $1,194. Options give 6.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if S is at $14. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if S hits $14 by Jun 19
+$46
+85.2% on $54 risked
Max Profit
+$46
If the stock โฅ $13 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$54
Net debit
Break-even
$12.54
+5.03% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.05 / -0.03 / -0.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| S Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10 (-20%) | -$42 | -$46 | -$51 | -$54 |
| $10 (-15%) | -$37 | -$41 | -$47 | -$54 |
| $11 (-10%) | -$30 | -$34 | -$40 | -$54 |
| $11 (-5%) | -$23 | -$25 | -$31 | -$54 |
| $12 (-2%) | -$18 | -$20 | -$23 | -$54 |
| $12 (0%) โ spot | -$15 | -$16 | -$18 | -$54 |
| $12 (+2%) | -$12 | -$12 | -$13 | -$36 |
| $13 (+5%) | -$7 | -$6 | -$5 | -$0 |
| $13 (+10%) | +$0 | +$3 | +$7 | +$46 |
| $14 (+13%) โ target | +$5 | +$8 | +$14 | +$46 |
| $14 (+15%) | +$7 | +$11 | +$18 | +$46 |
| $14 (+20%) | +$14 | +$19 | +$27 | +$46 |
Uses S's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.