Target Price Playground
S
$11.94
๐ข
S IV: 56.7% โ LOW
(-44.1% vs 30d avg of 101.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $13 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $11 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.84 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If S hits $13 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$84 (8.3%) on $-84 credit (max loss $1,016), vs +$56 (4.7%) for 100 shares on $1,194. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if S is at $13. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if S hits $13 by Jun 19
+$84
+8.3% on $1,016 max loss
Max Profit
+$84
If the stock โฅ $11 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,016
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$10.16
-14.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
33.55 / 0.8 / -1.93
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| S Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10 (-20%) | -$97 | -$85 | -$71 | -$61 |
| $10 (-15%) | -$60 | -$45 | -$26 | -$1 |
| $11 (-10%) | -$29 | -$12 | +$11 | +$59 |
| $11 (-5%) | -$3 | +$14 | +$38 | +$84 |
| $12 (-2%) | +$10 | +$27 | +$50 | +$84 |
| $12 (0%) โ spot | +$18 | +$35 | +$56 | +$84 |
| $12 (+2%) | +$25 | +$41 | +$62 | +$84 |
| $13 (+5%) โ target | +$33 | +$49 | +$68 | +$84 |
| $13 (+10%) | +$47 | +$61 | +$76 | +$84 |
| $14 (+15%) | +$57 | +$69 | +$80 | +$84 |
| $14 (+20%) | +$64 | +$74 | +$82 | +$84 |
Uses S's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.