Target Price Playground
S
$11.94
๐ข
S IV: 56.7% โ LOW
(-44.1% vs 30d avg of 101.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $13 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $11.94 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $13 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.85 ยท ฮ 0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If S hits $13 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$191 (17.2%) on $1,109 risked, vs +$106 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $1,194. Options give 1.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if S is at $13. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if S hits $13 by Jun 19
+$191
+17.2% on $1,109 risked
Max Profit
+$191
If the stock โฅ $13 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,109
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$11.09
-7.12% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.73 / 0.97 / -2.13
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| S Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10 (-20%) | -$168 | -$160 | -$155 | -$154 |
| $10 (-15%) | -$118 | -$106 | -$97 | -$94 |
| $11 (-10%) | -$71 | -$56 | -$41 | -$34 |
| $11 (-5%) | -$30 | -$12 | +$9 | +$25 |
| $12 (-2%) | -$8 | +$13 | +$37 | +$61 |
| $12 (0%) โ spot | +$7 | +$28 | +$54 | +$85 |
| $12 (+2%) | +$20 | +$42 | +$70 | +$109 |
| $13 (+5%) | +$39 | +$62 | +$92 | +$145 |
| $13 (+9%) โ target | +$60 | +$85 | +$116 | +$191 |
| $13 (+10%) | +$66 | +$90 | +$121 | +$191 |
| $14 (+15%) | +$89 | +$113 | +$144 | +$191 |
| $14 (+20%) | +$108 | +$132 | +$160 | +$191 |
Uses S's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.