Target Price Playground
S
$11.94
๐ข
S IV: 56.7% โ LOW
(-44.1% vs 30d avg of 101.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $13 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $11.94 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $12 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.88 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If S hits $13 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$18 (1.4%) on $1,282 risked, vs +$106 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $1,194. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if S is at $13. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if S hits $13 by Jun 19
+$18
+1.4% on $1,282 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$132
Put floors you at $12
Break-even
$12.82
+7.38% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.17 / -0.76 / 1.95
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| S Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10 (-20%) | -$107 | -$118 | -$128 | -$132 |
| $10 (-15%) | -$88 | -$102 | -$119 | -$132 |
| $11 (-10%) | -$64 | -$81 | -$102 | -$132 |
| $11 (-5%) | -$35 | -$53 | -$77 | -$132 |
| $12 (-2%) | -$14 | -$33 | -$57 | -$112 |
| $12 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$18 | -$43 | -$88 |
| $12 (+2%) | +$15 | -$3 | -$27 | -$64 |
| $13 (+5%) | +$40 | +$22 | -$1 | -$28 |
| $13 (+9%) โ target | +$73 | +$56 | +$36 | +$18 |
| $13 (+10%) | +$83 | +$66 | +$47 | +$31 |
| $14 (+15%) | +$130 | +$115 | +$100 | +$91 |
| $14 (+20%) | +$180 | +$167 | +$156 | +$151 |
Uses S's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.