Target Price Playground
S
$11.94
๐ข
S IV: 56.7% โ LOW
(-44.1% vs 30d avg of 101.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $14 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $12 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.39 ยท ฮ 0.54
LONG PUT ยท $12 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.18 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If S hits $14 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-107 (-41.6%) on $257 risked, vs +$156 (13.1%) for 100 shares on $1,194. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if S is at $14. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if S hits $14 by Jun 19
$-107
-41.6% on $257 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$257
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$9.43
-21.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.77 / -1.81 / 4.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| S Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10 (-20%) | +$29 | +$9 | -$8 | -$12 |
| $10 (-15%) | +$0 | -$27 | -$56 | -$72 |
| $11 (-10%) | -$19 | -$53 | -$93 | -$132 |
| $11 (-5%) | -$28 | -$66 | -$116 | -$191 |
| $12 (-2%) | -$28 | -$69 | -$121 | -$227 |
| $12 (0%) โ spot | -$27 | -$68 | -$121 | -$251 |
| $12 (+2%) | -$23 | -$65 | -$119 | -$239 |
| $13 (+5%) | -$15 | -$57 | -$111 | -$203 |
| $13 (+10%) | +$4 | -$36 | -$85 | -$144 |
| $14 (+13%) โ target | +$21 | -$18 | -$64 | -$107 |
| $14 (+15%) | +$32 | -$5 | -$48 | -$84 |
| $14 (+20%) | +$67 | +$33 | -$2 | -$24 |
Uses S's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.