Target Price Playground
S
$11.94
๐ข
S IV: 56.7% โ LOW
(-44.1% vs 30d avg of 101.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $14 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $12 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.39 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If S hits $14 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$11 (7.9%) on $139 risked, vs +$156 (13.1%) for 100 shares on $1,194. Options give 0.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if S is at $14. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if S hits $14 by Jun 19
+$11
+7.9% on $139 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$139
Premium paid
Break-even
$13.39
+12.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.32 / -1.0 / 2.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| S Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10 (-20%) | -$113 | -$125 | -$135 | -$139 |
| $10 (-15%) | -$98 | -$113 | -$129 | -$139 |
| $11 (-10%) | -$78 | -$96 | -$118 | -$139 |
| $11 (-5%) | -$53 | -$73 | -$100 | -$139 |
| $12 (-2%) | -$35 | -$57 | -$84 | -$139 |
| $12 (0%) โ spot | -$22 | -$44 | -$72 | -$139 |
| $12 (+2%) | -$8 | -$31 | -$59 | -$121 |
| $13 (+5%) | +$14 | -$9 | -$37 | -$85 |
| $13 (+10%) | +$53 | +$31 | +$5 | -$26 |
| $14 (+13%) โ target | +$80 | +$59 | +$34 | +$11 |
| $14 (+15%) | +$97 | +$77 | +$54 | +$34 |
| $14 (+20%) | +$144 | +$126 | +$106 | +$94 |
Uses S's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.