Target Price Playground
SBUX
$96.60
๐ข
SBUX IV: 35.9% โ LOW
(-31.9% vs 30d avg of 52.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $110 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $97 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.62 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $105 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.26 ยท ฮ 0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SBUX hits $110 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$464 (137.9%) on $336 risked, vs +$1,340 (13.9%) for 100 shares on $9,660. Options give 9.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SBUX is at $110. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SBUX hits $110 by Jun 19
+$464
+137.9% on $336 risked
Max Profit
+$464
If the stock โฅ $105 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$336
Net debit
Break-even
$100.36
+3.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
23.16 / -0.95 / 1.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SBUX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $77 (-20%) | -$312 | -$327 | -$335 | -$336 |
| $82 (-15%) | -$279 | -$305 | -$330 | -$336 |
| $87 (-10%) | -$221 | -$256 | -$304 | -$336 |
| $92 (-5%) | -$139 | -$172 | -$231 | -$336 |
| $95 (-2%) | -$81 | -$106 | -$157 | -$336 |
| $97 (0%) โ spot | -$39 | -$58 | -$96 | -$336 |
| $99 (+2%) | +$3 | -$7 | -$29 | -$183 |
| $101 (+5%) | +$67 | +$71 | +$77 | +$107 |
| $106 (+10%) | +$168 | +$192 | +$240 | +$464 |
| $110 (+14%) โ target | +$236 | +$271 | +$333 | +$464 |
| $111 (+15%) | +$254 | +$291 | +$355 | +$464 |
| $116 (+20%) | +$322 | +$362 | +$418 | +$464 |
Uses SBUX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.