Target Price Playground
SBUX
$96.60
๐ข
SBUX IV: 35.9% โ LOW
(-31.9% vs 30d avg of 52.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $92 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $97 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.08 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $92 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.03 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SBUX hits $92 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$320 (104.8%) on $306 risked, vs $-460 (-4.8%) for 100 shares on $9,660. Options give 21.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SBUX is at $92. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SBUX hits $92 by Jun 19
+$320
+104.8% on $306 risked
Max Profit
+$306
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$305
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$97.68
+1.11% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.12 / 0.44 / 4.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SBUX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $77 (-20%) | +$156 | +$166 | +$171 | +$163 |
| $82 (-15%) | +$140 | +$160 | +$180 | +$173 |
| $87 (-10%) | +$109 | +$134 | +$172 | +$212 |
| $92 (-5%) โ target | +$58 | +$80 | +$120 | +$321 |
| $95 (-2%) | +$25 | +$42 | +$72 | +$152 |
| $97 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | +$12 | +$32 | +$50 |
| $99 (+2%) | -$25 | -$19 | -$10 | -$35 |
| $101 (+5%) | -$64 | -$66 | -$74 | -$134 |
| $106 (+10%) | -$124 | -$138 | -$166 | -$233 |
| $111 (+15%) | -$176 | -$196 | -$229 | -$279 |
| $116 (+20%) | -$218 | -$239 | -$267 | -$297 |
Uses SBUX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.