Target Price Playground
SBUX
$96.60
๐ข
SBUX IV: 35.9% โ LOW
(-31.9% vs 30d avg of 52.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $110 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $96.6 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SBUX hits $110 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$1,340 (13.9%) on $9,660 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SBUX hits $110 by Jun 19
+$1,340
+13.9% on $9,660 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$9,660
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$96.60
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SBUX Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $77 (-20%) | -$1,932 | -$1,932 | -$1,932 |
| $82 (-15%) | -$1,449 | -$1,449 | -$1,449 |
| $87 (-10%) | -$966 | -$966 | -$966 |
| $92 (-5%) | -$483 | -$483 | -$483 |
| $95 (-2%) | -$193 | -$193 | -$193 |
| $97 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $99 (+2%) | +$193 | +$193 | +$193 |
| $101 (+5%) | +$483 | +$483 | +$483 |
| $106 (+10%) | +$966 | +$966 | +$966 |
| $110 (+14%) โ target | +$1,340 | +$1,340 | +$1,340 |
| $111 (+15%) | +$1,449 | +$1,449 | +$1,449 |
| $116 (+20%) | +$1,932 | +$1,932 | +$1,932 |
Uses SBUX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.