Target Price Playground
SBUX
$96.60
๐ข
SBUX IV: 35.9% โ LOW
(-31.9% vs 30d avg of 52.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $110 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $97 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.62 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SBUX hits $110 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$738 (131.2%) on $562 risked, vs +$1,340 (13.9%) for 100 shares on $9,660. Options give 9.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SBUX is at $110. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SBUX hits $110 by Jun 19
+$738
+131.2% on $562 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$562
Premium paid
Break-even
$102.62
+6.23% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.97 / -4.61 / 16.43
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SBUX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $77 (-20%) | -$530 | -$551 | -$561 | -$562 |
| $82 (-15%) | -$480 | -$524 | -$555 | -$562 |
| $87 (-10%) | -$383 | -$456 | -$527 | -$562 |
| $92 (-5%) | -$226 | -$323 | -$438 | -$562 |
| $95 (-2%) | -$98 | -$205 | -$339 | -$562 |
| $97 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$110 | -$250 | -$562 |
| $99 (+2%) | +$110 | -$2 | -$142 | -$409 |
| $101 (+5%) | +$294 | +$185 | +$52 | -$119 |
| $106 (+10%) | +$646 | +$549 | +$445 | +$364 |
| $110 (+14%) โ target | +$950 | +$868 | +$787 | +$738 |
| $111 (+15%) | +$1,044 | +$965 | +$891 | +$847 |
| $116 (+20%) | +$1,474 | +$1,413 | +$1,362 | +$1,330 |
Uses SBUX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.