Target Price Playground
SNAP
$4.82
๐ข
SNAP IV: 74.7% โ LOW
(-28.7% vs 30d avg of 104.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $4 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.74 ยท ฮ -0.49
SHORT PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.44 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNAP hits $4 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$20 (65.4%) on $30 risked, vs $-82 (-17.0%) for 100 shares on $482. Options give 3.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNAP is at $4. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNAP hits $4 by Jun 19
+$20
+65.4% on $30 risked
Max Profit
+$20
If the stock โค $4 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$30
Net debit
Break-even
$4.70
-2.54% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-14.2 / -0.02 / 0.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNAP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | +$9 | +$10 | +$14 | +$20 |
| $4 (-17%) โ target | +$7 | +$8 | +$12 | +$20 |
| $4 (-15%) | +$6 | +$7 | +$10 | +$20 |
| $4 (-10%) | +$3 | +$3 | +$5 | +$20 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$0 | -$0 | +$0 | +$12 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$2 | -$2 | -$3 | -$2 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$3 | -$4 | -$5 | -$12 |
| $5 (+2%) | -$5 | -$6 | -$7 | -$22 |
| $5 (+5%) | -$6 | -$8 | -$10 | -$30 |
| $5 (+10%) | -$9 | -$11 | -$14 | -$30 |
| $6 (+15%) | -$12 | -$14 | -$18 | -$30 |
| $6 (+20%) | -$14 | -$17 | -$21 | -$30 |
Uses SNAP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.