Target Price Playground
SNAP
$4.82
๐ข
SNAP IV: 74.7% โ LOW
(-28.7% vs 30d avg of 104.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $5 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.8 ยท ฮ -0.47
SHORT PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.44 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNAP hits $5 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$29 (81.3%) on $36 risked, vs $-32 (-6.6%) for 100 shares on $482. Options give 12.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNAP is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNAP hits $5 by Jun 19
+$29
+81.3% on $36 risked
Max Profit
+$29
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$30
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$5.03
+4.42% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.72 / 0.08 / 0.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNAP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | +$10 | +$12 | +$15 | +$17 |
| $4 (-15%) | +$8 | +$10 | +$14 | +$21 |
| $4 (-10%) | +$6 | +$8 | +$12 | +$27 |
| $5 (-7%) โ target | +$5 | +$7 | +$11 | +$32 |
| $5 (-5%) | +$4 | +$6 | +$10 | +$27 |
| $5 (-2%) | +$2 | +$4 | +$7 | +$19 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | +$3 | +$6 | +$14 |
| $5 (+2%) | +$0 | +$2 | +$4 | +$9 |
| $5 (+5%) | -$1 | -$0 | +$2 | +$2 |
| $5 (+10%) | -$4 | -$3 | -$3 | -$7 |
| $6 (+15%) | -$6 | -$7 | -$7 | -$14 |
| $6 (+20%) | -$9 | -$10 | -$12 | -$20 |
Uses SNAP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.