Target Price Playground
SNDK
$851.77
๐ข
SNDK IV: 92.4% โ LOW
(-18.1% vs 30d avg of 112.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $750 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $850 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $143.82 ยท ฮ -0.4
SHORT PUT ยท $780 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $107.0 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $750 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$3,318 (90.1%) on $3,682 risked, vs $-10,177 (-11.9%) for 100 shares on $85,177. Options give 7.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $750. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $750 by Jun 19
+$3,318
+90.1% on $3,682 risked
Max Profit
+$3,318
If the stock โค $780 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$3,682
Net debit
Break-even
$813.18
-4.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-7.36 / -9.2 / 6.43
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $681 (-20%) | +$1,411 | +$1,570 | +$1,937 | +$3,318 |
| $724 (-15%) | +$1,053 | +$1,144 | +$1,393 | +$3,318 |
| $750 (-12%) โ target | +$832 | +$876 | +$1,032 | +$3,318 |
| $767 (-10%) | +$690 | +$704 | +$796 | +$3,318 |
| $809 (-5%) | +$332 | +$264 | +$180 | +$400 |
| $835 (-2%) | +$120 | +$4 | -$184 | -$2,155 |
| $852 (0%) โ spot | -$18 | -$166 | -$422 | -$3,682 |
| $869 (+2%) | -$154 | -$332 | -$653 | -$3,682 |
| $894 (+5%) | -$353 | -$575 | -$985 | -$3,682 |
| $937 (+10%) | -$671 | -$957 | -$1,492 | -$3,682 |
| $980 (+15%) | -$969 | -$1,310 | -$1,933 | -$3,682 |
| $1022 (+20%) | -$1,246 | -$1,629 | -$2,307 | -$3,682 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.