Target Price Playground
SNDK
$851.77
๐ข
SNDK IV: 92.4% โ LOW
(-18.1% vs 30d avg of 112.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $750 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $850 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $143.82 ยท ฮ -0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $750 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-4,382 (-30.5%) on $14,382 risked, vs $-10,177 (-11.9%) for 100 shares on $85,177. Options give 2.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $750. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $750 by Jun 19
$-4,382
-30.5% on $14,382 risked
Max Profit
+$70,618
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$14,382
Premium paid
Break-even
$706.18
-17.09% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-40.16 / -105.24 / 142.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $681 (-20%) | +$7,470 | +$5,833 | +$3,939 | +$2,476 |
| $724 (-15%) | +$4,917 | +$3,048 | +$742 | -$1,782 |
| $750 (-12%) โ target | +$3,479 | +$1,490 | -$1,034 | -$4,382 |
| $767 (-10%) | +$2,608 | +$552 | -$2,093 | -$6,041 |
| $809 (-5%) | +$533 | -$1,661 | -$4,548 | -$10,300 |
| $835 (-2%) | -$604 | -$2,858 | -$5,839 | -$12,855 |
| $852 (0%) โ spot | -$1,320 | -$3,603 | -$6,626 | -$14,382 |
| $869 (+2%) | -$2,003 | -$4,308 | -$7,355 | -$14,382 |
| $894 (+5%) | -$2,967 | -$5,292 | -$8,347 | -$14,382 |
| $937 (+10%) | -$4,425 | -$6,749 | -$9,745 | -$14,382 |
| $980 (+15%) | -$5,711 | -$7,997 | -$10,860 | -$14,382 |
| $1022 (+20%) | -$6,840 | -$9,058 | -$11,736 | -$14,382 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.